Booms and Busts

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Throwing the Fed's Machinery in Reverse: Fed Interest Rate Policies Continue to Damage the Economy

Booms and BustsCentral BanksThe FedInflation

Blog09/07/2022

The Fed’s tampering with market signals undermines the process of wealth generation, thereby exerting an upward pressure on the time preference interest rate and the market interest rate.

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Does Reducing Unemployment through Government Spending Boost the Economy?

Booms and BustsKeynesUnemployment

Blog09/06/2022

The standard Keynesian play is to increase government spending in order to reduce unemployment and increase economic growth. Here's why it consistently fails.

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Is a Recession Simply a Decline in GDP? What Does That Mean?

Booms and BustsEconomic PolicyInflationBusiness Cycles

Blog08/22/2022

The "official" definition of a recession is a two-consecutive-quarter decline in GDP, but there are problems with GDP measurement in the first place.

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The Economy Needs a Volcker Moment

Booms and BustsThe FedInflationBusiness Cycles

Blog07/26/2022

When Paul Volcker was Fed chairman forty years ago, he did what was necessary to bring down inflation. Unfortunately, the current Fed leadership at best is engaging in Volcker Lite.

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Do Price Increases or Money Supply Increases Misallocate Resources?

Booms and BustsInflation

Blog07/25/2022

As prices rise, many people—including economists, who should know better—claim that price increases are inflation. They are not.

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"Transitory" No Longer: Double-Digit Inflation Is Already Here!

Booms and BustsInflation

Blog07/22/2022

Forget the talk from Biden and economists like Paul Krugman. Double-digit inflation is here, and it will be with us for a while.

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The Canaries in the Coal Mines Are No Longer Singing

Booms and BustsThe FedInflationBusiness Cycles

Blog07/21/2022

Mortgage companies and realtors are today's canaries. They're in deep trouble, and so are the rest of us. 

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The Federal Reserve Now Is between the Proverbial Rock and a Hard Place

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness Cycles

Blog07/21/2022

The great credit expansion Alan Greenspan began thirty years ago has finally run its course. The Fed no longer can expand credit to fight the oncoming recession.

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GDP Provides a False Reading of the State of the Economy

Booms and BustsThe FedBusiness Cycles

Blog07/19/2022

Most economists see GDP as a snapshot of the performance of the economy. However, it is better understood as a misleading statistic which fails to accurately describe what really is happening economically.

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Here We Go Again: The Fed Is Causing Another Recession

Booms and BustsThe FedInflation

Blog07/02/2022

After suppressing interest rates and creating asset bubbles for more than two decades, the Fed is now juicing up interest rates—and wrecking the economy.

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